Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIM EUNSEONG 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
2 WANG Mendy 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 58%
3 CHANG Parker 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 7%
3 WU Wallace 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
5 ZHAI Alex 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
5 FAN Ze Lin 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
7 HUYNH Matthew 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
8 VENAFRO Tristan 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 8%
9 LIU Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
10 RAU Shogun 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31%
11 TAN Charlie 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
12 SHOU Raymond 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33% 5%
13 HUANG Dalynn 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
14 KIAYIAS Anthony 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
15 CAO Aaron 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
16 ZHENG Lerui 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 9%
17 LIN Lucas 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
18 XIE Jayden 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 8%
19 SONG Enoch 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
20 MCCOOL Henry 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
21 ZHONG Yi 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
22 ZHONG Tian 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21%
23 LI Andrew 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
24 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9% 1%
25 CHEN Kyler 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% -
26 LI Aaron 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 2%
27 CAO Joshua 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 8%
28 PARK Joshua 100% 100% 85% 49% 16% 2%
29 MORALES Tycho 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
30 TIAN Andy 100% 100% 90% 60% 23% 4%
31 XU Jason 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
32 BRADY David 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
33 ZHANG Eric 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25% 3%
34 NG Chuck 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
35 LU Ethan 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
36 FANG Lionel 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1%
37 AGARWAL Jagrav 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2% -
38 LIU Mason 100% 94% 64% 20% 3% - -
39 YANG Luca 100% 98% 80% 39% 9% 1%
40 HUYNH Kaleb 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
41 JIAO Daniel 100% 100% 90% 59% 22% 3%
42 HUANG Owen 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
43 SINGH Jai Anand 100% 99% 85% 50% 15% 2% -
44 XU Jonathan 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
45 WU Connor 100% 80% 33% 5% - - -
46 GENG Vincent 100% 87% 55% 21% 5% - -
47 YU Oliver 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
48 CHEN Keegan 100% 96% 74% 35% 9% 1%
49 SU Sean 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
50 LI Mason 100% 80% 32% 6% - -
51 HAN Jayden 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
52 REN Jonathan 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% -
53 MOSAMEH Faraj 100% 58% 15% 2% - -
54 ALANAZI Saif 100% 100% 97% 79% 35% 7% -
55 HYUN Francis 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% - -
56 KLINE Benjamin 100% 90% 54% 17% 2% - -
57 JAZWINSKI Archer 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
58 HOLLANDER Max 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
59 NG Harry 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
60 LEONG Michael 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
61 SUN Zedong Eric 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
62 MONTGOMERY Henry 100% 7% - - - -
63 LEE Ryan 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
64 SAFAI Bardia 100% 63% 18% 2% - - -
65 CREANGA Matthew 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.