Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIANG Adam - - 1% 7% 23% 40% 29%
3 LEE Derek 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
3 KIM Ian - - - 4% 18% 42% 37%
5 LIU FREDERICK - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
6 ZHOU Silvan - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
7 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
8 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
9 TRIVULCE Ethan 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
10 MAK Nolan - 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 6%
11 KAZA Avyaan 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
12 LI AIDEN 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 6%
13 LEE Sehryum 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 2%
14 ZUNIGA Wyatt 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
15 ZUNIGA Finn 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
16 KIM Nicholas 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
17 LEE Zachariah 4% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
18 YOUNG Colin 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
19 ELMI Omid 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
20 SOTO Lucas 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
21 WENDLING Andrew 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% -
22 CHAN Evan 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% -
23 CESPEDES David 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
24 DOUGLAS James 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
25 ISLAM Ryan 2% 14% 33% 33% 16% 3% -
25 KUBBA Neil 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 7%
27 AINSWORTH Rhys 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.