Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIANG Adam 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 29%
3 LEE Derek 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 2%
3 KIM Ian 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
5 LIU FREDERICK 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
6 ZHOU Silvan 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 3%
7 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
8 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
9 TRIVULCE Ethan 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
10 MAK Nolan 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 6%
11 KAZA Avyaan 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
12 LI AIDEN 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
13 LEE Sehryum 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
14 ZUNIGA Wyatt 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1%
15 ZUNIGA Finn 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
16 KIM Nicholas 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
17 LEE Zachariah 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
18 YOUNG Colin 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
19 ELMI Omid 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
20 SOTO Lucas 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
21 WENDLING Andrew 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
22 CHAN Evan 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
23 CESPEDES David 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
24 DOUGLAS James 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
25 ISLAM Ryan 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
25 KUBBA Neil 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7%
27 AINSWORTH Rhys 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.