Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Foil

Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
2 KIM Natalie 100% 98% 82% 44% 9%
3 HU Sophie 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
3 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 99% 93% 62% 13%
6 HUANG Sophie 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 20%
7 XING Melly 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
8 FENG Claire 100% 78% 35% 7% 1%
9 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 62%
10 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
11 ZHU Ella 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
12 XU-FERGUSON Victoria 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
13 CAO Amelie 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
14 DONG Katelyn 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
15 HUANG Natalie 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
16 LIN Katherine 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
17 MA Emily(Yiming) 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
17 MA Sophia 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 6% -
19 LI Junhan 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
20 SONG Erin 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
21 ZHANG Priscilla 100% 97% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
22 LIU Bella 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
23 ZHENG Annalyn 100% 96% 73% 32% 5%
24 ZOLDAN Nolabelle 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
24 ZHANG Caroline 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4% -
24 LUO lucy 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 11% 1%
27 TAN Dorathy 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 42%
28 CHO Olivia 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
29 POEI Meagan 100% 96% 61% 19% 2% -
30 KIM Ines 100% 98% 73% 29% 4% -
31 WU Lorena 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
32 KHETPAL Aalia 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
33 SUN Erin 100% 100% 91% 61% 23% 4% -
34 ZHANG Hannah 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
35 PHAN Logan 100% 100% 91% 58% 15% 1%
36 GENG Emma 100% 79% 37% 8% 1%
37 WU Charlotte 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
38 LEO Jenna 100% 98% 86% 56% 24% 6% 1%
39 HUANG Annabelle 100% 34% 5% - - - -
40 SELSER Ella 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
42 SONG Sarah 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
43 DZIWULSKI Elisabeth Claire 100% 87% 52% 18% 4% - -
44 LU Chloe 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
45 JOSEPH Rachel 100% 59% 20% 4% - - -
46 LUEKEN Adelina 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
47 LOBO Sophie 100% 26% 3% - - -
48 JAIN Dia 100% 96% 66% 26% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.