Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KARAVAS Nicholas - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 24%
2 BENE Andrew - 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
3 LIU Marvin - - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
3 LI Cooper - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
5 BALU Aedan - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 28%
6 HUCHWAJDA Alex - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 21%
7 LUAN Mark - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
8 RINALDI Savio - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
9 LIU Victor - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
10 BUKZIN Alan 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
10 ZHANG Simon - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 4%
12 FENG Brendan - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 16%
13 QIN toby 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
14 TASIKAS Peter - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3%
15 KIM Yusung 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
16 SRIVATSAV Ishaan - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
17 SRIVATSAV Anay 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1%
18 BENE Paul 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
19 SIDDAMSHETTY Ishaan - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
20 CHAWLA Abhishek - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
21 WU Vincent - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
22 ZHANG Caleb 2% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
23 YAO John 3% 21% 37% 27% 10% 2% -
24 YU Ronen 30% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -
25 LUAN Stephen - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
26 ZHENG Lucas 1% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
27 RAMONDINI Levi 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
28 MOON Noah 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
29 LIAO Sirui 5% 23% 37% 27% 8% 1%
30 PIPKE Garrett 5% 28% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
31 CHOU Franklin 5% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
32 WANG Mason 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
33 LU Simon 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
34 SONG Ryan 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
35 CHUKWU David 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
36 MOORE Blaise 16% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
37 WANG Ziyao 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
38 GRAY Joshua 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
39 FERRIS Oliver 50% 38% 10% 1% - - -
41 LEE Ezra 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.