Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
2 BENE Andrew 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
3 LIU Marvin 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
3 LI Cooper 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
5 BALU Aedan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
6 HUCHWAJDA Alex 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
7 LUAN Mark 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
8 RINALDI Savio 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
9 LIU Victor 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
10 BUKZIN Alan 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
10 ZHANG Simon 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
12 FENG Brendan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
13 QIN toby 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
14 TASIKAS Peter 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3%
15 KIM Yusung 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
16 SRIVATSAV Ishaan 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
17 SRIVATSAV Anay 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
18 BENE Paul 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
19 SIDDAMSHETTY Ishaan 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
20 CHAWLA Abhishek 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
21 WU Vincent 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
22 ZHANG Caleb 100% 98% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
23 YAO John 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 2% -
24 YU Ronen 100% 70% 26% 5% 1% - -
25 LUAN Stephen 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
26 ZHENG Lucas 100% 99% 87% 55% 22% 4% -
27 RAMONDINI Levi 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
28 MOON Noah 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% 1%
29 LIAO Sirui 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
30 PIPKE Garrett 100% 95% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
31 CHOU Franklin 100% 95% 69% 29% 7% 1% -
32 WANG Mason 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
33 LU Simon 100% 98% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
34 SONG Ryan 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% -
35 CHUKWU David 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2%
36 MOORE Blaise 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
37 WANG Ziyao 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
38 GRAY Joshua 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
39 FERRIS Oliver 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
41 LEE Ezra 100% 64% 23% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.