Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, December 28, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEVY Daniel - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
2 KIM Junseong - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
3 LU Simon - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
3 CHEN Ryan - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
5 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
6 LI Nathan 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
7 SALMAN Ibrahim - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
8 ZHANG Eric - 5% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
9 CHEN Luca - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
10 SUN Leonard - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
11 RINALDI Benigno - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
12 MAUREL Louis 2% 15% 36% 32% 13% 2% -
13 BECKER Grayson - 2% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
14 LI Lucas - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 11%
15 PARK Sean - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
16 GOLDSTEIN Malcolm 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
17 PARK Layne - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
18 ZHANG Caleb - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
19 LIUZHANG Ben 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
20 LAN Jasper - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
21 KELLY Collin - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
22 ATA Kevin - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
23 BADMUS David 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 13% 2%
24 HUANG Lucas 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
25 KNOBEL Benjamin - 3% 13% 29% 32% 18% 4%
26 PETROSYAN Aleksander 14% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
27 MCCABE Donovan 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
28 KWON Joon 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
29 OH Caleb 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
30 HUANG Joseph 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
31 TIAN Michael 14% 34% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
32 QIAO Jason 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
33 CHEN Remsen 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
34 CHUNG Liam 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
35 SVERDLOV Max 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
36 ZHANG Leon - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
37 THORNTON Jackson 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
38 GU Viljo Weihan 23% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
39 BORROK Andrew 5% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2% -
40 MEAGHER Fionn - 6% 25% 39% 23% 6% -
41 BELTRAN-PRATS Enzo 3% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
41 BROWN Nash 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.