Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, December 28, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEVY Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
2 KIM Junseong 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
3 LU Simon 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
3 CHEN Ryan 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
5 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
6 LI Nathan 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
7 SALMAN Ibrahim 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
8 ZHANG Eric 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
9 CHEN Luca 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 38% 9%
10 SUN Leonard 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
11 RINALDI Benigno 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
12 MAUREL Louis 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 2% -
13 BECKER Grayson 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
14 LI Lucas 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
15 PARK Sean 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
16 GOLDSTEIN Malcolm 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
17 PARK Layne 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
18 ZHANG Caleb 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
19 LIUZHANG Ben 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
20 LAN Jasper 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
21 KELLY Collin 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
22 ATA Kevin 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
23 BADMUS David 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
24 HUANG Lucas 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% 1% -
25 KNOBEL Benjamin 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 22% 4%
26 PETROSYAN Aleksander 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
27 MCCABE Donovan 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
28 KWON Joon 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
29 OH Caleb 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
30 HUANG Joseph 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
31 TIAN Michael 100% 86% 52% 20% 5% 1% -
32 QIAO Jason 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
33 CHEN Remsen 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% - -
34 CHUNG Liam 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
35 SVERDLOV Max 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
36 ZHANG Leon 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
37 THORNTON Jackson 100% 83% 45% 14% 3% - -
38 GU Viljo Weihan 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% - -
39 BORROK Andrew 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
40 MEAGHER Fionn 100% 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
41 BELTRAN-PRATS Enzo 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
41 BROWN Nash 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.