Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, December 28, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CULLIVAN Sienna - - - 1% 7% 36% 56%
2 HUANG Natalie - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
3 ZHU Ella - - 1% 8% 32% 46% 13%
3 CAO Amelie - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
5 ZHANG Hannah - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
6 LUO lucy - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
7 ORRINGER Lottie - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
8 KIM Natalie - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
9 XING Melly - - 3% 12% 31% 37% 17%
10 CHAN Jolene - 1% 7% 28% 42% 22%
11 LIN Katherine - - - 5% 21% 42% 32%
12 HU Sophie - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
13 XU-FERGUSON Victoria - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
15 LEO Jenna 1% 12% 33% 39% 15%
16 ZHANG Priscilla - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
17 ZHU Audrey 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 11% 1%
18 ZHANG Selina - 1% 6% 22% 38% 29% 5%
19 DONG Katelyn - 5% 25% 41% 24% 5% -
20 REILLY Carys - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
21 SMOLICH Emily - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
22 PHAN Logan 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 4%
23 ZHENG Annalyn - 2% 17% 38% 33% 10%
24 GENG Emma - 1% 11% 34% 39% 14% 1%
25 WANG Joann - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 9%
26 CHOI Cara - 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
26 FU Joy 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% -
28 LI Doreen 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
29 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla - 6% 30% 40% 20% 4%
30 DZIWULSKI Elisabeth Claire 7% 29% 39% 21% 4%
31 ZOLDAN Nolabelle 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
32 KIM Ines 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
33 KIM Yuna 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
34 CHO Olivia - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
35 PAK Rosa 9% 33% 38% 17% 3%
36 FENG Claire 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
37 HAFEZ Sahar - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
38 PARK Hannah - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
39 XU Charlene 2% 13% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
39 KHETPAL Aalia - 4% 16% 30% 31% 15% 3%
41 LI Annabelle - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
42 ZHANG Caroline - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
43 SHEN Gloria - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
44 LIAW Audrey - 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
45 DONG Nancy 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
46 LI Beatrice 1% 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% -
47 LU Chloe 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
48 HUANG Gabrielle 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
49 LIU Bella 1% 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
50 SUN Erin - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
51 ELLISON Ingrid 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% -
52 QIAO Lori-Ann 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
53 SINGH Evangelina - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
54 MA Sophia 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
55 HUANG Emma 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
56 MCCLAIN Madison 3% 25% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
57 LEE Annabel 15% 44% 30% 9% 1% - -
58 CULLIVAN Elise 10% 51% 31% 7% 1% -
60 DONG Audrey 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
61 WU Charlotte 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
62 JAZWINSKI Ivy 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
63 FAROOQI Eliora 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
64 MILLER Anna 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
65 YAO Emma 5% 25% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
66 TANG Clementine 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
67 LIU Doris 40% 45% 13% 1% - - -
68 JOSEPH Rachel 29% 43% 23% 5% -
69 WANG Allyson 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
69 CHAN Chloe 15% 35% 31% 15% 4% - -
71 ZHU Alicia 25% 48% 23% 4% - - -
72 HUANG Annabelle 74% 24% 2% - - -
73 LOBO Sophie 69% 27% 4% - - - -
74 LEE Soli 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
75 GOEL Saanvi 48% 40% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.