Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, December 28, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CULLIVAN Sienna 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
2 HUANG Natalie 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
3 ZHU Ella 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 13%
3 CAO Amelie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
5 ZHANG Hannah 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 22% 4%
6 LUO lucy 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
7 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
8 KIM Natalie 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
9 XING Melly 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
10 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
11 LIN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
12 HU Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
13 XU-FERGUSON Victoria 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
15 LEO Jenna 100% 99% 87% 54% 15%
16 ZHANG Priscilla 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
17 ZHU Audrey 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
18 ZHANG Selina 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 5%
19 DONG Katelyn 100% 100% 95% 70% 29% 5% -
20 REILLY Carys 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
21 SMOLICH Emily 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
22 PHAN Logan 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 4%
23 ZHENG Annalyn 100% 100% 98% 81% 43% 10%
24 GENG Emma 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 15% 1%
25 WANG Joann 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
26 CHOI Cara 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
26 FU Joy 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
28 LI Doreen 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
29 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla 100% 100% 94% 64% 24% 4%
30 DZIWULSKI Elisabeth Claire 100% 93% 65% 25% 4%
31 ZOLDAN Nolabelle 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
32 KIM Ines 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
33 KIM Yuna 100% 99% 93% 66% 24%
34 CHO Olivia 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 11%
35 PAK Rosa 100% 91% 57% 19% 3%
36 FENG Claire 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
37 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
38 PARK Hannah 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
39 XU Charlene 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
39 KHETPAL Aalia 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
41 LI Annabelle 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
42 ZHANG Caroline 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
43 SHEN Gloria 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
44 LIAW Audrey 100% 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
45 DONG Nancy 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
46 LI Beatrice 100% 99% 87% 50% 14% 2% -
47 LU Chloe 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
48 HUANG Gabrielle 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
49 LIU Bella 100% 99% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
50 SUN Erin 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
51 ELLISON Ingrid 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
52 QIAO Lori-Ann 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
53 SINGH Evangelina 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
54 MA Sophia 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
55 HUANG Emma 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
56 MCCLAIN Madison 100% 97% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
57 LEE Annabel 100% 85% 41% 10% 1% - -
58 CULLIVAN Elise 100% 90% 39% 8% 1% -
60 DONG Audrey 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
61 WU Charlotte 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
62 JAZWINSKI Ivy 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
63 FAROOQI Eliora 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
64 MILLER Anna 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1%
65 YAO Emma 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
66 TANG Clementine 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
67 LIU Doris 100% 60% 15% 2% - - -
68 JOSEPH Rachel 100% 71% 29% 6% -
69 WANG Allyson 100% 94% 69% 35% 10% 1% -
69 CHAN Chloe 100% 85% 50% 19% 4% 1% -
71 ZHU Alicia 100% 75% 27% 4% - - -
72 HUANG Annabelle 100% 26% 2% - - -
73 LOBO Sophie 100% 31% 4% - - - -
74 LEE Soli 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
75 GOEL Saanvi 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.