Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | REN Katherine | V V D D V V | V V V V V V | 5.6 | 4 | -1.6 |
| 2 | PARK Haylie | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| 3 | YADAV Tishya | V V V D V V | V V V D | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| 3 | TA-ZHOU Sophia | V D V V V V | V V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 5 | PEREIRA Izumi | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| 6 | NANDA Maanika | D V V V V V | V V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 7 | TIAN Ariana | V V V V V D | V V D | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| 8 | PHILLIPPY Hannah | D V V V V V | V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 9 | JOSHI Samika | V D V V V V | V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 10 | SHRESTHA Arya | V V D V V V | V D | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| 11 | CANARAN Daphne M. | D D V V V V | V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 12 | MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous | V V V D V D | V V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 13 | LEE Kaitlin | D V D D V V | V V D | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| 14 | LIU Alyssa | D V V D D V | V V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 15 | WANG Emily | V D D V D D | V V D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 16 | WANG Selina | D D D V D D | V V D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 17 | ZHENG Winona | V V V V V V | D | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| 18 | MAJEWSKA Maria | V V D V V V | D | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| 19 | TOPALOV Julia | D V V V V V | D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 20 | AN Jamie | V V V D V V | D | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| 21 | OH Chloe | V D V V V D | D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 22 | MENON Maya | D V D V V V | V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 23 | LIU Teresa | V V V V D D | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 24 | PIÑOL Annika | D V V V D V | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 25 | CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia | V V D V D D | V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 26 | ZHANG Manyao | V D D V V D | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 27 | LIAO Audrey | V D D V V D | V D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 28 | DESAI Sabrina | V D V V D D | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 29 | DEMRY Kylee | V V D D V D | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 30 | ONG Katherine | D D V D D V | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 31 | ONO Lisa | D D V D D V | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 32 | DATLA Aanya | D D V V D D | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 33 | SAGER Bianca | V V D D D V | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 34 | ZOLOTUKHINA Adel | V D D V D V | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 35 | GUERVILLE Angelique | D V D D V V | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 35 | ARANGO Ivanna | D V D V V D | D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 37 | DOWNES Camille | V D V D D D | D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 38 | KARAVAS Lucy | D V D D D V | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 39 | SIROTA Simone | V D D D D V | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 40 | RADELL Zoe | D D D V D D | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 41 | ATA Emily | D V D D D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 42 | LEE Jiyoung | D D V D D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 43 | AN Jasmine | D D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| 44 | LI Gloria | D D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 45 | BORROK Katherine | D D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 45 | HAROYAN Lilit | D D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 47 | MCCABE Ashley | D D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 48 | NORRIS Phoebe | D D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 49 | QUILLIAM Ophelia | D D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.