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Event Results

Y-14 Women's Saber

Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCCSurprise Map

Sunday, December 28, 2025 at 11:00 AM Fredericksburg Convention Center · Fredericksburg, VA, USA
49 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 REN Katherine V V D D V V V V V V V V 5.6 4 -1.6
2 PARK Haylie V V V V V V V V V V D 5.0 6 +1.0
3 YADAV Tishya V V V D V V V V V D 5.1 5 -0.1
3 TA-ZHOU Sophia V D V V V V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
5 PEREIRA Izumi V V V V V V V V D 4.5 6 +1.5
6 NANDA Maanika D V V V V V V V D 4.8 5 +0.2
7 TIAN Ariana V V V V V D V V D 3.0 5 +2.0
8 PHILLIPPY Hannah D V V V V V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
9 JOSHI Samika V D V V V V V D 4.4 5 +0.6
10 SHRESTHA Arya V V D V V V V D 3.0 5 +2.0
11 CANARAN Daphne M. D D V V V V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
12 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous V V V D V D V V D 2.8 4 +1.2
13 LEE Kaitlin D V D D V V V V D 4.5 3 -1.5
14 LIU Alyssa D V V D D V V V D 3.3 3 -0.3
15 WANG Emily V D D V D D V V D 3.3 2 -1.3
16 WANG Selina D D D V D D V V D 2.2 1 -1.2
17 ZHENG Winona V V V V V V D 4.7 6 +1.3
18 MAJEWSKA Maria V V D V V V D 5.1 5 -0.1
19 TOPALOV Julia D V V V V V D 4.5 5 +0.5
20 AN Jamie V V V D V V D 3.0 5 +2.0
21 OH Chloe V D V V V D D 3.3 4 +0.7
22 MENON Maya D V D V V V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
23 LIU Teresa V V V V D D V D 2.8 4 +1.2
24 PIÑOL Annika D V V V D V V D 2.9 4 +1.1
25 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia V V D V D D V D 3.8 3 -0.8
26 ZHANG Manyao V D D V V D V D 2.5 3 +0.5
27 LIAO Audrey V D D V V D V D 1.9 3 +1.1
28 DESAI Sabrina V D V V D D V D 2.6 3 +0.4
29 DEMRY Kylee V V D D V D V D 2.8 3 +0.2
30 ONG Katherine D D V D D V V D 2.9 2 -0.9
31 ONO Lisa D D V D D V V D 2.8 2 -0.8
32 DATLA Aanya D D V V D D V D 2.4 2 -0.4
33 SAGER Bianca V V D D D V D 2.7 3 +0.3
34 ZOLOTUKHINA Adel V D D V D V D 3.2 3 -0.2
35 GUERVILLE Angelique D V D D V V D 2.5 3 +0.5
35 ARANGO Ivanna D V D V V D D 1.8 3 +1.2
37 DOWNES Camille V D V D D D D 3.3 2 -1.3
38 KARAVAS Lucy D V D D D V D 2.6 2 -0.6
39 SIROTA Simone V D D D D V D 1.4 2 +0.6
40 RADELL Zoe D D D V D D D 2.1 1 -1.1
41 ATA Emily D V D D D D D 1.7 1 -0.7
42 LEE Jiyoung D D V D D D D 1.9 1 -0.9
43 AN Jasmine D D D D D D D 1.8 0 -1.8
44 LI Gloria D D D D D D D 1.9 0 -1.9
45 BORROK Katherine D D D D D D D 0.8 0 -0.8
45 HAROYAN Lilit D D D D D D D 0.8 0 -0.8
47 MCCABE Ashley D D D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1
48 NORRIS Phoebe D D D D D D D 0.9 0 -0.9
49 QUILLIAM Ophelia D D D D D D D 1.5 0 -1.5

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%