Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, December 28, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 REN Katherine - - - - 4% 28% 68%
2 PARK Haylie - - - 4% 21% 47% 28%
3 YADAV Tishya - - - 3% 18% 46% 33%
3 TA-ZHOU Sophia - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 7%
5 PEREIRA Izumi - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
6 NANDA Maanika - - 1% 8% 24% 40% 27%
7 TIAN Ariana 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 7% 1%
8 PHILLIPPY Hannah - 1% 7% 25% 39% 23% 4%
9 JOSHI Samika - - 2% 13% 35% 37% 12%
10 SHRESTHA Arya 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 9% 1%
11 CANARAN Daphne M. - 2% 12% 31% 37% 16% 1%
12 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
13 LEE Kaitlin - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
14 LIU Alyssa 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 13% 2%
15 WANG Emily - 5% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2%
16 WANG Selina 6% 23% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
17 ZHENG Winona - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
18 MAJEWSKA Maria - - - 3% 17% 43% 36%
19 TOPALOV Julia - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
20 AN Jamie 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
21 OH Chloe - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
22 MENON Maya - 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 3%
23 LIU Teresa 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
24 PIÑOL Annika 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5% -
25 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
26 ZHANG Manyao 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2% -
27 LIAO Audrey 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
28 DESAI Sabrina 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
29 DEMRY Kylee 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
30 ONG Katherine 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
31 ONO Lisa 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
32 DATLA Aanya 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
33 SAGER Bianca 1% 10% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
34 ZOLOTUKHINA Adel 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
35 GUERVILLE Angelique 3% 17% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
35 ARANGO Ivanna 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
37 DOWNES Camille 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
38 KARAVAS Lucy 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
39 SIROTA Simone 17% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
40 RADELL Zoe 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
41 ATA Emily 9% 34% 37% 16% 3% - -
42 LEE Jiyoung 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
43 AN Jasmine 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
44 LI Gloria 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
45 BORROK Katherine 41% 41% 16% 3% - - -
45 HAROYAN Lilit 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
47 MCCABE Ashley 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
48 NORRIS Phoebe 40% 40% 16% 3% - - -
49 QUILLIAM Ophelia 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.