Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Foil

Sunday, December 28, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HAFEZ Tahiyah - - 1% 9% 39% 51%
2 WANG Annie - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
3 MA Emily(Yiming) 1% 11% 35% 38% 13% 1%
3 PHAN Logan 2% 18% 40% 31% 8% 1%
5 OWENS Elise - 4% 22% 45% 29%
6 TAN Dorathy - 5% 24% 45% 26%
7 HUANG Sophie 1% 16% 41% 33% 8%
8 LU Chloe 20% 45% 28% 6% - -
9 CHO Olivia - 1% 11% 34% 40% 14%
10 ORBE-AUSTIN Nia - 6% 27% 44% 22%
11 SONG Erin - 3% 19% 40% 31% 8%
12 LIU Yinuo - 1% 7% 31% 46% 15%
13 BERGMANN Beatrix 60% 33% 7% 1% -
14 LI Junhan 4% 28% 42% 22% 4%
15 SONG Jenna 1% 10% 34% 40% 15%
16 SONG Sarah 21% 44% 27% 6% 1% -
17 SELSER Ella 4% 34% 42% 18% 2%
18 JAIN Dia 74% 23% 3% - -
19 MOORE Addisyn 5% 30% 42% 20% 3%
20 JOSEPH Rachel 31% 45% 20% 3% - -
21 SIMANJUNTAK Jocelyn 4% 23% 41% 25% 6% 1%
22 LUEKEN Adelina 36% 45% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.