Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Foil

Sunday, December 28, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
2 WANG Annie 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
3 MA Emily(Yiming) 100% 99% 88% 53% 14% 1%
3 PHAN Logan 100% 98% 80% 40% 8% 1%
5 OWENS Elise 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
6 TAN Dorathy 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
7 HUANG Sophie 100% 99% 83% 42% 8%
8 LU Chloe 100% 80% 35% 7% 1% -
9 CHO Olivia 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
10 ORBE-AUSTIN Nia 100% 100% 93% 66% 22%
11 SONG Erin 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 8%
12 LIU Yinuo 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 15%
13 BERGMANN Beatrix 100% 40% 7% 1% -
14 LI Junhan 100% 96% 68% 26% 4%
15 SONG Jenna 100% 99% 90% 55% 15%
16 SONG Sarah 100% 79% 34% 7% 1% -
17 SELSER Ella 100% 96% 62% 20% 2%
18 JAIN Dia 100% 26% 3% - -
19 MOORE Addisyn 100% 95% 65% 23% 3%
20 JOSEPH Rachel 100% 69% 23% 4% - -
21 SIMANJUNTAK Jocelyn 100% 96% 73% 32% 7% 1%
22 LUEKEN Adelina 100% 64% 20% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.