Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Épée

Sunday, December 28, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Caroline 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
2 YU Chloe 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 14%
3 LEE Gloria Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81%
3 RICHARDS Axelle 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
5 ALLIEVI Simone 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12% 1%
6 PILSON Rebecca 100% 100% 100% 91% 42%
6 BISONO Valentina 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
8 XIE ANDREA 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
9 KROPP Anne (Charlie) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
10 SHEIKH PAREE 100% 99% 91% 59% 20% 2%
10 JIANG Alexandra 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 5%
12 RAJ Indra 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 8% 1%
13 NOLAN Sophia 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
14 WEI Sherry 100% 100% 99% 90% 40%
15 CHEN Ava 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 15%
16 GORE Amina 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
17 KAKANI Aditi 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
18 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
19 SHIN Jamie 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 1%
20 KELSEY Fabienne 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
21 LEE Kate 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7%
22 LI Xier 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 5%
24 KWON Claire 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 1%
25 LEONG Andrea 100% 94% 60% 20% 3% -
26 GORDON Hannah 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3% -
27 STEEL Jane 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
28 KALI Aiana 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
29 ASHFORD Marguerite 100% 92% 55% 10% 1%
30 HAGERMAN Siona 100% 88% 46% 12% 2% -
31 JANGALA Risha 100% 59% 14% 1% -
33 AZAD Ava 100% 99% 86% 49% 14% 1%
34 NAPOLI Eleanor 100% 77% 28% 3% -
35 PRAVEEN Nehara 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% -
36 ZHENG Kristen 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
37 ZHANG Sophia 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
38 THOMPSON Grace 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
39 BUNCH Halle 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% -
40 RAGSDALE Lillian 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
41 YOUNG Penelope 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
42 SHABBIR Aiza 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
43 KUPPUSAMY Mahaa 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
44 PORTER Cora 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
45 MORET Teagan 100% 46% 9% 1% - -
46 DROLET Julia 100% 36% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.