Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, December 28, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
2 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
3 BALU Aedan 100% 100% 96% 83% 53% 21% 4%
3 LUAN Mark 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
5 LIN Felix 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18%
6 QIN toby 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% -
7 SALMAN Hamzah 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
8 SRIVATSAV Anay 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
9 SRIVATSAV Ishaan 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
10 FENG Brendan 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 12%
11 YADAV Lakshya 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
12 BENE Andrew 100% 98% 87% 57% 24% 6% 1%
13 LI Cooper 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
14 PARCELL Colby 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 17% 1%
15 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
16 SIDDAMSHETTY Ishaan 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 9% -
17 TASIKAS Peter 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
18 BUKZIN Alan 100% 100% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
19 BENSON Jacob 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 18% 3%
20 CHAWLA Abhishek 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
21 KIM Yusung 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
22 LIU Marvin 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
23 BENE Paul 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
24 NG Nathaniel 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
25 MOON Noah 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
26 LIU Jayden 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% -
26 WANG Ziyao 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
28 KANE Kiran 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
29 PIPKE Garrett 100% 70% 28% 7% 1% - -
30 VLASENKO Bohdan 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
31 LUAN Stephen 100% 99% 84% 49% 16% 2% -
32 ZHENG Lucas 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
33 GRAY Joshua 100% 26% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.