NEUSFA Jack Norton Hangover Open

Senior Men's Épée

Thursday, January 1, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ROSE-JONES Simon - - - - 10% 89%
2 ZHANG William - - 1% 10% 42% 48%
3 DOELEMAN Zeno - - - 3% 26% 71%
3 JIANG Ryan - - 5% 26% 48% 20%
5 BAJAJ Nakul - 2% 19% 40% 30% 8%
6 SANTOS Antonio K. - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
7 GLUSHKOV David 4% 26% 41% 23% 5% -
8 MELCHER Jack H. - - - 1% 12% 88%
9 BELLIVEAU Raven C. - - 1% 12% 40% 48%
10 FENG Du - 7% 27% 42% 23% 1%
11 PAYNE Massimo - 5% 22% 41% 27% 6%
12 LAMIRANDE Félix-Antoine - 5% 26% 44% 23% 1%
13 ROGAK Benjamin A. - - - 2% 23% 75%
14 PETINO Leonardo 5% 28% 43% 21% 3% -
15 TRAN Spencer - 2% 14% 40% 39% 5%
16 WANG Xiangdong - 2% 18% 43% 32% 4%
17 LAI Boden - 1% 12% 41% 46%
18 WANG Justin - - 1% 10% 40% 49%
19 RUSSELL Edward - 1% 8% 31% 45% 15%
19 SPRINGER Michael - 1% 7% 28% 44% 20%
21 GOON Sin Tong 1% 13% 35% 37% 13% -
22 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 2% 18% 44% 30% 6%
23 GOON Tristan Yang - 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
24 ZELIN Sam J. - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
25 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 1% 17% 44% 30% 7% -
26 SONG Changze 2% 18% 37% 30% 11% 1%
27 CAFASSO Alexander 8% 37% 38% 15% 2% -
27 LIU Jeremiah W. - 4% 23% 44% 27% 1%
29 PLOTNICHENKO Vsevolod - 4% 20% 40% 30% 6%
30 BELLIVEAU Shane - 3% 20% 39% 30% 8%
31 ZHENG Jason 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
32 WILSON Ian G. - 6% 25% 41% 25% 4%
33 SANTOS Francisco M. - 1% 10% 32% 40% 18%
34 XIE Brandon - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
35 YELIZAROV Vladislav - 5% 21% 36% 29% 8%
36 WANG-SONG Evan 2% 15% 38% 34% 11% -
37 MAZZOLI Julio C. - - 5% 23% 44% 27%
38 BENNETT Nathaniel 64% 31% 5% - -
39 NALLICHERI Ayaan 3% 19% 37% 30% 11% 1%
40 REELS Eric J. 5% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1%
42 LEE Harrison 48% 40% 11% 1% - -
43 LIN Yufei 8% 46% 36% 9% 1% -
44 SANTOS Felipe - 3% 20% 44% 29% 3%
45 ZHANG Jonathan 2% 17% 40% 32% 8% 1%
46 MICKEY Christopher J. 3% 29% 43% 21% 4% -
47 MORI Seneca 6% 27% 41% 21% 4% -
48 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 5% 24% 40% 25% 6% -
48 ROFINO Samuel 44% 46% 9% 1% - -
50 MISSERT Justin 2% 18% 41% 31% 7% -
51 YAMAUCHI Corbin 59% 34% 7% 1% - -
52 ECKERT Kevin M. - 2% 16% 37% 34% 10%
52 CHEN Allen 1% 16% 40% 34% 8%
54 LI Ray 7% 34% 40% 17% 2% -
54 STELTENKAMP Neal 1% 7% 29% 43% 19% 1%
56 BRASSARD Calvin 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
57 WHITE Aidan 8% 37% 38% 14% 2% -
58 YIN Chujun 1% 15% 38% 33% 11% 1%
59 MITSCH Aubrey 18% 43% 31% 8% 1% -
60 HANNA Alexander 23% 46% 25% 5% - -
61 LIN Lucas 31% 44% 21% 4% - -
62 MANN Daniel 48% 38% 12% 2% - -
63 LIU George 30% 51% 17% 2% - -
64 OSBORN Reuben 5% 34% 43% 16% 1%
65 HAN Nathan 55% 36% 8% 1% - -
66 KAIN Brad 3% 25% 43% 24% 4% -
67 WILLIAMS Gavin 55% 36% 8% 1% - -
68 ZHENG Yicheng Will 72% 25% 3% - - -
69 CROTTY James 5% 31% 40% 20% 4% -
70 WIGGINS Keigan 7% 31% 41% 19% 3% -
71 CHAN Tyler 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
72 ACHILOV Murod 70% 27% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.