NEUSFA Jack Norton Hangover Open

Senior Men's Épée

Thursday, January 1, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ROSE-JONES Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%
2 ZHANG William 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
3 DOELEMAN Zeno 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
3 JIANG Ryan 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 20%
5 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 8%
6 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
7 GLUSHKOV David 100% 96% 70% 29% 6% -
8 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88%
9 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 48%
10 FENG Du 100% 100% 93% 66% 24% 1%
11 PAYNE Massimo 100% 100% 95% 74% 33% 6%
12 LAMIRANDE Félix-Antoine 100% 100% 94% 68% 24% 1%
13 ROGAK Benjamin A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
14 PETINO Leonardo 100% 95% 67% 24% 3% -
15 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 5%
16 WANG Xiangdong 100% 100% 98% 79% 36% 4%
17 LAI Boden 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
18 WANG Justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
19 RUSSELL Edward 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 15%
19 SPRINGER Michael 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
21 GOON Sin Tong 100% 99% 86% 51% 14% -
22 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 100% 98% 80% 36% 6%
23 GOON Tristan Yang 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
24 ZELIN Sam J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
25 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 100% 99% 81% 38% 7% -
26 SONG Changze 100% 98% 79% 43% 12% 1%
27 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 92% 56% 18% 2% -
27 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 100% 95% 72% 28% 1%
29 PLOTNICHENKO Vsevolod 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 6%
30 BELLIVEAU Shane 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 8%
31 ZHENG Jason 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
32 WILSON Ian G. 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 4%
33 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 18%
34 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
35 YELIZAROV Vladislav 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 8%
36 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 98% 83% 46% 11% -
37 MAZZOLI Julio C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
38 BENNETT Nathaniel 100% 36% 5% - -
39 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
40 REELS Eric J. 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% 1%
42 LEE Harrison 100% 52% 12% 1% - -
43 LIN Yufei 100% 92% 46% 10% 1% -
44 SANTOS Felipe 100% 100% 97% 77% 32% 3%
45 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 98% 81% 41% 9% 1%
46 MICKEY Christopher J. 100% 97% 68% 25% 4% -
47 MORI Seneca 100% 94% 67% 26% 5% -
48 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% -
48 ROFINO Samuel 100% 56% 10% 1% - -
50 MISSERT Justin 100% 98% 80% 39% 8% -
51 YAMAUCHI Corbin 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
52 ECKERT Kevin M. 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
52 CHEN Allen 100% 99% 83% 42% 8%
54 LI Ray 100% 93% 59% 19% 2% -
54 STELTENKAMP Neal 100% 99% 92% 63% 21% 1%
56 BRASSARD Calvin 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
57 WHITE Aidan 100% 92% 54% 16% 2% -
58 YIN Chujun 100% 99% 84% 46% 12% 1%
59 MITSCH Aubrey 100% 82% 40% 9% 1% -
60 HANNA Alexander 100% 77% 31% 6% - -
61 LIN Lucas 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
62 MANN Daniel 100% 52% 13% 2% - -
63 LIU George 100% 70% 19% 2% - -
64 OSBORN Reuben 100% 95% 60% 18% 1%
65 HAN Nathan 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
66 KAIN Brad 100% 97% 72% 29% 4% -
67 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
68 ZHENG Yicheng Will 100% 28% 3% - - -
69 CROTTY James 100% 95% 64% 24% 4% -
70 WIGGINS Keigan 100% 93% 63% 22% 3% -
71 CHAN Tyler 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
72 ACHILOV Murod 100% 30% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.