Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Friday, January 2, 2026 at 8:30 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 BUKZIN Alan - - 5% 32% 63%
2 LIAO Sirui - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
3 WANG Mason 1% 9% 35% 46% 10%
3 THOMAS Tre - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
5 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse - 1% 9% 26% 40% 24%
6 YU Ronen 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
7 ZHANG Eric 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
8 WANG Ziyao 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
9 HUANG Anthony 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
10 PETROSYAN Aleksander 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
12 RINALDI Benigno - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
13 JAVIER Xavier - 1% 8% 29% 41% 21%
14 EVELYN Wyatt 19% 47% 29% 6% -
15 URQUILLA Devin 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
16 SIREN Isaac 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% -
17 HONG Isaac 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
18 LI Derek 4% 26% 46% 21% 2%
19 LAN Jasper 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
20 PROSPER Nathaniel 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
21 CID Marcos 42% 43% 13% 1% -
22 GHIM Ethan 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
23 TUNA Abdullatif 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
24 PARR William 30% 44% 21% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.