Event Results

Y-14 Men's Saber

Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYCPool Heatmap

Friday, January 2, 2026 at 8:30 AM Fredericksburg Convention Center · Fredericksburg, VA, USA
24 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 BUKZIN Alan 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
2 LIAO Sirui 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
3 WANG Mason 100% 99% 91% 56% 10%
3 THOMAS Tre 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
5 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
6 YU Ronen 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
7 ZHANG Eric 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
8 WANG Ziyao 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 3%
9 HUANG Anthony 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1%
10 PETROSYAN Aleksander 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
11 CHEN Timothy Missing ID
12 RINALDI Benigno 100% 100% 96% 81% 45% 11%
13 JAVIER Xavier 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
14 EVELYN Wyatt 100% 82% 35% 6% -
15 URQUILLA Devin 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
16 SIREN Isaac 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
17 HONG Isaac 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
18 LI Derek 100% 96% 70% 23% 2%
19 LAN Jasper 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
20 PROSPER Nathaniel 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
21 CID Marcos 100% 58% 14% 1% -
22 GHIM Ethan 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 1%
23 TUNA Abdullatif 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
24 PARR William 100% 70% 26% 5% - -