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Event Results

Y-12 Women's Saber

Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYCSurprise Map

Friday, January 2, 2026 at 9:00 AM Fredericksburg Convention Center · Fredericksburg, VA, USA
21 finishers
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 ZHANG Manyao V V V V V V V V V V 4.1 6 +1.9
2 ARANGO Ivanna V V V D V V V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
3 CHANG Kelly D V V V V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
3 RADELL Zoe V V D V V V V V D 3.4 5 +1.6
5 YAO Elizabeth V V V D V V V D 4.1 5 +0.9
6 VU Claire D D V V V V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
7 MAZZURCO Marin V V D V V D V D 2.8 4 +1.2
8 NORRIS Phoebe D D V D D V V V D 2.4 2 -0.4
9 SADHU Mira V V V D V V D 2.0 5 +3.0
10 HONG Eden D V D V V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
11 CHEN Jolene V V V D D D D 2.9 3 +0.1
12 PAVONY Arya V D V V D D D 1.3 3 +1.7
13 CHANG Eleanor D V D D D V V D 4.2 2 -2.2
14 MAZZURCO Sydney V D D D V D V D 2.3 2 -0.3
15 JEON Karis D D V V D D V D 1.9 2 +0.1
16 JAVIER Jordan D D D D D D V D 1.5 0 -1.5
17 SUN claire V D D V D D D 2.6 2 -0.6
18 LIN Martina D D V D V D D 2.2 2 -0.2
19 GREENHOUSE Harper D V D D D D D 4.0 1 -3.0
20 WANG Emily D D D V D D D 3.4 1 -2.4
21 D'AMELJ Ludovica D D D D D D D 2.5 0 -2.5

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%