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Event Results

Y-12 Women's Saber

Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYCPool Heatmap

Friday, January 2, 2026 at 9:00 AM Fredericksburg Convention Center · Fredericksburg, VA, USA
21 finishers
Birth year

Win Distribution

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the probability of finishing with that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Manyao - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
2 ARANGO Ivanna - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
3 CHANG Kelly - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
3 RADELL Zoe - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
5 YAO Elizabeth - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
6 VU Claire - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 9%
7 MAZZURCO Marin 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
8 NORRIS Phoebe 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
9 SADHU Mira 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
10 HONG Eden - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
11 CHEN Jolene 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
12 PAVONY Arya 24% 39% 26% 9% 2% - -
13 CHANG Eleanor - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
14 MAZZURCO Sydney 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
15 JEON Karis 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
16 JAVIER Jordan 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
17 SUN claire 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
18 LIN Martina 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
19 GREENHOUSE Harper - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
20 WANG Emily - 4% 16% 31% 30% 15% 3%
21 D'AMELJ Ludovica 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -