Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | ELARABY Mazen | V V V V V | V V V V V | 5.0 | 5 | - |
| 2 | YAN William | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| 3 | TE VELDE Noah C. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| 3 | SU Landon | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| 5 | ARIAS Cesar A | D V V V V | V V D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 6 | FILATOV Aleksandr | D V V V V | V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 7 | JI Johnson | V V V D D V | V V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 8 | LEHMAN Matthew | D V V D V V | V V D | 1.8 | 4 | +2.2 |
| 9 | EYSTER Edison | V V V V D V | V D | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| 10 | SHANKAR Karthik | V V D V V | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 11 | LIN Felix | V V V D D V | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 12 | ANDRADE VARGAS Jose Ricardo | D V V D V V | V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 13 | DECK Tyson | D D V V V | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 14 | TOSCANO Sebastian | V D V D V | V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 15 | FENG Brendan | V V D D V | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 16 | BENSON Jacob | V V D V D D | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 17 | MOON Noah | V D V V D | D | 1.1 | 3 | +1.9 |
| 18 | WANG Ziyao | D V D V V | D | 0.9 | 3 | +2.1 |
| 19 | RINALDI Savio | V D D V V D | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 20 | DOARES Andrew | V V D D D V | D | 5.4 | 3 | -2.4 |
| 21 | WASCO Andrew | D D V D V V | D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 22 | BRESLOW Frederick M. | D V D V D V | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 23 | YADAV Lakshya | V V D D D | D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 24 | ROBLES Julio C. | V D D V D | D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 25 | REHM Liam | D V V D D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 26 | TSAO Oliver | V D V D D | V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 27 | KANE Kiran | D V V D D | V D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 28 | LIU Guanyu | V D D V D | V D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 29 | BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. | D D V D V D | V D | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| 30 | BIALIK Noah | D D D V V D | V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 31 | PARCELL Colby | D D D D V | V D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 32 | TSAO Alister | D D D V D D | V D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 33 | SZULIM Rad | V D D V D D | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 34 | BURGESS-LINDEN Ian | D D D D V D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 35 | YADAV Ajay | D D V D D D | D | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
| 36 | SALMAN Hamzah | D D D D D | D | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| 37 | SU Ji | D D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 38 | ELLIS Bremmen | D D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 39 | LIU Jayden | D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.