Boston Fencing Club RYC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 3:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
2 YIN Elaine 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 7%
3 CHEN Allison 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
3 YOUN Emily 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
5 SONKU Mira 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
6 LI Rebecca 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
7 DING Iris Siyue 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
8 TIAN Victoria 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
9 POYNTON Cora 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
10 BOROTKO Katerina 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
11 VILLER Alice 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
12 GRUDZINSKI Josephine 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
13 ZHANG Jane 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 11%
14 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
15 JI Susan 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
16 REDWINE Louise 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 2% -
17 BUDMAN Ava 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
18 KIM Abigail 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 13% 2%
19 GOTSABINA Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
20 XU Mulan 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
21 ADEN Aurora 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
22 SIU Mila 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14% 1%
23 XI Emily 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 19% 2%
24 BONTHAPALLY Maitreyee S. 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
25 CHALLAMEL Heloise 100% 91% 59% 23% 4% -
26 MURTALA Aisha 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 6%
27 SPRINGER Lily 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
28 LEE Iona 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
29 ZARAYSKI Abigail 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
30 LI Kayla 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2%
31 HENRYHANSON Violet 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
32 LUO MAOSHUEN 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% -
33 BILIEN Yiwen 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
34 BIGGS Posie 100% 98% 83% 49% 18% 3% -
35 LEUNG Morgan 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 4% -
36 GARZON Laura 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
37 ECCLESTONE Tara 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
38 MCMAHON Julia 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
39 WINTON Lyra 100% 76% 37% 10% 2% - -
40 SELASSIE Semara 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
41 CHANG Emma 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
42 AN Julie 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
43 AUDET Vivienne 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
44 KANDHI Aryaa 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 2% -
45 JIN Serena 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
46 RODRIGUEZ Ivy 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 7% 1%
47 SHEK Isabella 100% 86% 50% 18% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.