Magic City New Years Competition (Foil/Epee)

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 11:45 AM

Birmingham Fencing Club - Birmingham, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOFFMAN Zane - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 5%
2 MORRISON Archer 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
3 FORD Lennox 1% 8% 31% 37% 18% 4% -
3 FRIEDMAN Mayvin 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
5 JOHNSON Stuart 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
6 CHONG Erin 2% 20% 45% 26% 6% -
7 CHONG Elsa - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
8 RICHARDSON Christopher Phoenix - 3% 18% 38% 31% 9% 1%
9 NIE Grant 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
10 WITUCKI Jillian - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
11 AKCE Hatice 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
12 CHEN Max 41% 41% 15% 3% - -
13 SEARCY Lena 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.