Magic City New Years Competition (Foil/Epee)

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 11:45 AM

Birmingham Fencing Club - Birmingham, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOFFMAN Zane 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
2 MORRISON Archer 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
3 FORD Lennox 100% 99% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
3 FRIEDMAN Mayvin 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
5 JOHNSON Stuart 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
6 CHONG Erin 100% 98% 78% 32% 6% -
7 CHONG Elsa 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
8 RICHARDSON Christopher Phoenix 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 10% 1%
9 NIE Grant 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
10 WITUCKI Jillian 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
11 AKCE Hatice 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
12 CHEN Max 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
13 SEARCY Lena 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.