Premier Challenge RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Friday, September 6, 2019 at 4:00 PM

Manalapan, NJ - Manalapan, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
2 TOLBA Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 32%
3 TORRES Treston 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
3 LEE Jacob J 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
5 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
6 GARR James D. 100% 100% 98% 81% 41% 7%
7 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
8 DECORLETO III Andrew (Tripp) J. 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% -
9 XIANG Derrick 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
10 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16%
11 LI Ayren 100% 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
12 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 100% 99% 91% 60% 20% 2%
13 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
14 GUO Sean 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
15 GUO Justin 100% 100% 95% 68% 26% 3%
16 PITERBARG Maxim 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
17 LIGOS Alex M. 100% 89% 42% 9% 1% -
18 TRUBETSKI David 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
18 MENG Xiang 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
20 POIROT Max 100% 90% 55% 19% 4% - -
21 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 99% 89% 51% 13% 1%
22 WEN Ethan 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
23 ARCE Andrew W. 100% 41% 4% - - - -
24 TING Clement 100% 36% 5% - - -
25 PARK Joseph 100% 87% 43% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.