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Event Results

Div I-A Women's Épée

Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYCPool Heatmap

Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 8:00 AM Fredericksburg Convention Center · Fredericksburg, VA, USA
45 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ILYAS Ayah 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 37% 5%
2 PILSON Rebecca 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 6%
3 BALAZS Luca 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 17%
3 LIANG Carina 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
5 CHI Chelsea 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
6 KROPP Anne (Charlie) 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
7 MEMON Insha 100% 99% 87% 54% 16% 2%
8 OLELE Ifechi 100% 100% 92% 65% 27% 5%
9 MARX Leslie M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 54%
10 QI Julieanne 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
11 CHEN Ava 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% -
12 YOON Elsa 100% 84% 26% 3% < 1% - -
13 ZHU Serene M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 43%
14 DUNSEATH Lauren M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
15 ZUCKER Emily A. 100% 97% 72% 33% 8% 1%
16 LEVKOV Maita 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
17 NOLAN Sophia 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
18 KONG Mila W. 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% -
19 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23% 3%
19 WANG Ziqiao (Claire) 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
21 YAO Chloe 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
22 ASHER Valerie 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60% 14%
23 LI Xier 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 2% -
24 TOLLEY Toby 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 14%
25 PROKOP Jeannine A. 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
26 POLANICHKA Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
27 IVANOV Angela-Sophie 100% 84% 42% 10% 1% -
28 SHIN Jamie 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
29 AZAD Ava 100% 95% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
30 CHERNOBRIVETS Maria 100% 100% 89% 45% 8% 1% -
31 PARK Suhjee 100% 53% 13% 1% - - -
32 ALVAREZ Martine 100% 35% 6% - - -
33 BENAVIDES Samantha 100% 97% 77% 37% 8% 1% -
34 ROWLAND May 100% 100% 95% 63% 18% 2% -
35 JEANDHEUR Carole A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
36 GARCIA Aly 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 4%
37 BOWIE Charlotta 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
38 RALSTON Katy 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
39 SILVA Hailey 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
40 KWON Claire 100% 91% 55% 17% 2% - -
41 MURPHY Megan 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% 1%
42 THOMPSON Grace 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
43 DUNNE Jessica 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
44 JULIEN Erica 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
45 CHI Evelyn 100% 31% 2% - - - -