Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Veteran Women's Foil

Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 10:30 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PIERRYNOWSKI Kathryn S. - - - - 2% 21% 76%
2 DRESSEL Pamela (Pam) A. - - - - - 8% 91%
3 ORLOVA Elena 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 7% -
5 SHANKS Jennifer - 1% 10% 32% 40% 16% 1%
6 JACKSON Wilma S. - 1% 13% 37% 38% 11%
7 FERGUSON Diane F. - - 5% 22% 41% 28% 3%
8 RANDALL Cathleen Coyle - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24% 1%
9 FRENZINGER Kate - 4% 18% 37% 31% 10% < 1%
10 ALZONA Esperanza P. - 5% 31% 42% 20% 3%
11 WHITT Lynnette A. - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
12 CHUANG Jocelyn - 3% 24% 42% 26% 5%
13 MARRELLI Carolina 7% 30% 39% 19% 4% - -
14 MOORE Kristie 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
15 MOORE Annette 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 2% -
16 MORO Diana 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
17 REICHMAN Marsha E. - 3% 18% 37% 31% 9% -
18 OU Sochivly 11% 61% 24% 3% - -
19 BROWN RUPP Deborah 21% 43% 28% 8% 1% - -
20 GRIEB Suzanne 10% 46% 33% 9% 1% - -
21 STANSBURY Courtney 77% 22% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.