Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Veteran Women's Foil

Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 10:30 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PIERRYNOWSKI Kathryn S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
2 DRESSEL Pamela (Pam) A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 91%
3 ORLOVA Elena 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7% -
5 SHANKS Jennifer 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 17% 1%
6 JACKSON Wilma S. 100% 100% 99% 86% 49% 11%
7 FERGUSON Diane F. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31% 3%
8 RANDALL Cathleen Coyle 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 1%
9 FRENZINGER Kate 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10% < 1%
10 ALZONA Esperanza P. 100% 100% 95% 64% 22% 3%
11 WHITT Lynnette A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
12 CHUANG Jocelyn 100% 100% 97% 73% 31% 5%
13 MARRELLI Carolina 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% - -
14 MOORE Kristie 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
15 MOORE Annette 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2% -
16 MORO Diana 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
17 REICHMAN Marsha E. 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% -
18 OU Sochivly 100% 89% 28% 4% - -
19 BROWN RUPP Deborah 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% - -
20 GRIEB Suzanne 100% 90% 44% 11% 1% - -
21 STANSBURY Courtney 100% 23% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.