Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 YADAV Tishya - - - 6% 34% 60%
2 MAJEWSKA Maria - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
3 HU Emily - 1% 9% 36% 44% 10%
3 ZHANG Manyao 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1%
5 PHILLIPPY Hannah - 1% 10% 30% 39% 19%
6 GUO Yuexi - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
7 TA-ZHOU Sophia - 1% 9% 38% 52%
8 RADELL Zoe 4% 25% 44% 24% 3%
9 TOPALOV Julia - - 3% 38% 58%
10 PIÑOL Annika - 1% 13% 58% 29%
11 CHANG Kelly 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
12 JUNG Elise - 4% 20% 45% 27% 4%
13 LIU Alyssa - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
14 LIU Teresa 1% 11% 37% 41% 11%
15 SAGER Bianca 20% 39% 29% 10% 1% -
16 WANG Selina 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
17 MAZZURCO Marin 21% 46% 27% 6% -
18 SADHU Mira 23% 48% 27% 2% -
19 YAO Elizabeth 10% 34% 35% 17% 4% -
20 MCCABE Ashley 24% 44% 26% 5% - -
21 ONO Lisa 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
22 CHEN Jolene 15% 41% 34% 9% 1% -
23 JEON Karis 25% 47% 25% 2% -
24 NORRIS Phoebe 32% 45% 20% 3% -
25 JEON Kristen 16% 42% 33% 8% 1% -
26 MAZZURCO Sydney 20% 47% 30% 3% -
27 WANG Emily 3% 17% 35% 32% 13% 2%
28 WATERWORTH Clover 37% 43% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.