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Event Results

Y-14 Women's Saber

Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYCPool Heatmap

Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM Fredericksburg Convention Center · Fredericksburg, VA, USA
28 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 YADAV Tishya 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
2 MAJEWSKA Maria 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
3 HU Emily 100% 100% 99% 90% 54% 10%
3 ZHANG Manyao 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1%
5 PHILLIPPY Hannah 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
6 GUO Yuexi 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
7 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
8 RADELL Zoe 100% 96% 72% 29% 4%
9 TOPALOV Julia 100% 100% 100% 97% 58%
10 PIÑOL Annika 100% 100% 99% 86% 29%
11 CHANG Kelly 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
12 JUNG Elise 100% 100% 96% 76% 31% 4%
13 LIU Alyssa 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
14 LIU Teresa 100% 99% 86% 49% 10%
15 SAGER Bianca 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% -
16 WANG Selina 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
17 MAZZURCO Marin 100% 78% 33% 6% -
18 SADHU Mira 100% 77% 30% 3% -
19 YAO Elizabeth 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
20 MCCABE Ashley 100% 76% 31% 6% - -
21 ONO Lisa 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
22 CHEN Jolene 100% 85% 44% 10% 1% -
23 JEON Karis 100% 75% 28% 3% -
24 NORRIS Phoebe 100% 69% 24% 4% -
25 JEON Kristen 100% 84% 41% 8% 1% -
26 MAZZURCO Sydney 100% 80% 32% 3% -
27 WANG Emily 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
28 WATERWORTH Clover 100% 63% 20% 3% - -