Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZHAO Crystal - 3% 18% 41% 34% 2%
2 ABDELKAREM Maya - 4% 22% 40% 28% 6%
3 HARSAR Cleo - 8% 37% 40% 13% 1%
3 FAYEZ Malika - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
5 LEE Gloria - 1% 10% 32% 42% 15%
6 CHUNG Yenna - 5% 23% 40% 26% 5%
7 RYU Natalee - 5% 29% 44% 20% 1%
8 CHANEY Evelyn - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
9 MU Jasmine 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
10 ALVAREZ Megan 19% 47% 27% 5% - -
11 YAO Nikkie 8% 36% 37% 16% 3% -
12 BELL Paisley 2% 16% 38% 32% 11% 1%
13 LIOU Skylar 1% 8% 31% 39% 19% 3%
14 ABDALLAH Lily 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
15 RABBITT Ainsley - 11% 37% 38% 12% 1%
16 SHELDON Flora < 1% 2% 15% 37% 35% 10%
17 KIM Eila 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
18 BAE Madison - - 5% 23% 43% 29%
19 COSTLOW Christine - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
20 CHONG Ashley 53% 38% 9% 1% - -
21 SAAD Emmalyn 32% 46% 18% 3% - -
22 GALIOTE Nora 27% 47% 22% 4% - -
23 ASONI Valentina 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
24 DONSON Christine 26% 43% 25% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.