Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZHAO Crystal 100% 100% 96% 78% 37% 2%
2 ABDELKAREM Maya 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
3 HARSAR Cleo 100% 100% 91% 54% 14% 1%
3 FAYEZ Malika 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
5 LEE Gloria 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15%
6 CHUNG Yenna 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 5%
7 RYU Natalee 100% 100% 95% 66% 22% 1%
8 CHANEY Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
9 MU Jasmine 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
10 ALVAREZ Megan 100% 81% 33% 6% - -
11 YAO Nikkie 100% 92% 56% 19% 3% -
12 BELL Paisley 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
13 LIOU Skylar 100% 99% 91% 60% 22% 3%
14 ABDALLAH Lily 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
15 RABBITT Ainsley 100% 100% 89% 52% 14% 1%
16 SHELDON Flora 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 10%
17 KIM Eila 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
18 BAE Madison 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 29%
19 COSTLOW Christine 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 9%
20 CHONG Ashley 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
21 SAAD Emmalyn 100% 68% 22% 3% - -
22 GALIOTE Nora 100% 73% 27% 5% - -
23 ASONI Valentina 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
24 DONSON Christine 100% 74% 31% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.