Event Results
Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | O'DONNELL Breck | V V V D V | V V V V V | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| 2 | SMITH Finnley | V V V V D | V V V V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 3 | SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad | V V V V V D | V V V D | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| 3 | PRUT Anton | V D V V V | V V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 5 | KUBBA Krish | V V V V V V | V V D | 2.7 | 6 | +3.3 |
| 6 | ZHANG Ethan | V V V V V V | V V D | 3.4 | 6 | +2.6 |
| 7 | MOE Annan | V V V V V | V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 8 | TARCHICHI Robby | V V V V V | V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 9 | GRACEY Gavin | V V D V V | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 10 | SINGH Meet | V D V D V V | V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 11 | HARWOOD Gray | V D D V V V | V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 12 | SONG HAN GYEOL | D V V V V D | V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 13 | TARCHICHI Daniel | D V D V V D | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 14 | TAM Kyle | D D V D V | V D | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| 15 | GALVAN Omar | D D V V D | V D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 16 | GRIEB Oliver | V D D D V D | V D | 4.8 | 2 | -2.8 |
| 17 | ZHANG Julian | V D V V V | D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| 18 | PARK Jubin | V D V V D | D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 19 | GODIN Willis | V V D D V | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 20 | ELSAYED Ahmed | V V V D D D | D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 21 | BAZZLE Christopher E. | D V D D V | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 22 | LEE Hans | V D D D D V | D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 23 | KHAW-BRIOT Kai | D D V D D V | D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 24 | STANSBURY Desmond | D D D V D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 25 | MAHNKEN Thomas P. | D V D D D | D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| 26 | TINGLE Byrd | D V D D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 27 | NEGLEY Royce | D D V D D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 28 | MORENO Peter | D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| 29 | DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel | D D D D D D | D | 3.9 | 0 | -3.9 |
| 30 | NEWELL Tim | D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 31 | ERTZBERGER Joel | D D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| 32 | JENKINS Michael | D D D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |