Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Div II Women's Saber

Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 4:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 MAJEWSKA Maria - 6% 29% 44% 21%
2 GUO Yuexi - 4% 30% 51% 15%
3 YADAV Tishya - - 6% 36% 57%
3 TOPALOV Julia 1% 17% 43% 32% 7%
5 PHILLIPPY Hannah 15% 41% 34% 9% < 1%
6 DEMING Clare L. - 1% 10% 54% 36%
7 FLEEGER Sophia 20% 44% 29% 6% -
8 WALKER Terra - 4% 25% 45% 26%
9 JUNG Elise 1% 14% 49% 31% 4%
10 CORPUS Hannah 2% 34% 43% 18% 3%
11 BARCZAY Sara E. 4% 23% 43% 27% 2%
12 JEON Kristen 36% 51% 12% 1% -
13 HILTON Penelope 86% 14% 1% - -
14 MARTIN Audrey 42% 48% 10% 1% -
15 CORL Brianna 4% 22% 39% 28% 7%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.