Boston Fencing Club RYC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIU Mila 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
2 XI Emily 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
3 LEE Iona 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
3 CHALLAMEL Heloise 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
5 SUN Alisha 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
6 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
7 JI Susan 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 11%
8 KIM Abigail 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
9 VILLER Gabriella 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
10 VILLER Alice 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
11 BONTHAPALLY Maitreyee S. 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
12 SOLGI Ava 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 8%
13 TAN Abriel 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
14 YOON Michelle 100% 99% 83% 45% 11% 1% -
15 YIN Elaine 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
16 CAHALANE Alexa 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
17 REDWINE Louise 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
18 DOROSHKEVICH Maria 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
19 GUAN Charlotte 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 2%
20 CHOI Noah 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
21 SELASSIE Semara 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 2%
22 ZHAO Ailsa 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
23 ZHENG Lina 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% -
24 KANDHI Aryaa 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
25 LI Kayla 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
26 BILIEN Yiwen 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
27 OZALP Tara 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1%
28 KAUR Harman 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
29 ERATA Selena 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1%
30 JIN Serena 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
31 AN Julie 100% 87% 43% 11% 1% -
32 MORALES Valentina 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% -
33 RODRIGUEZ Ivy 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
34 ECCLESTONE Tara 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% -
35 CHANG Carina 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 5% -
36 LUO MAOSHUEN 100% 86% 52% 19% 3% -
37 LEUNG Hayden 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.