Boston Fencing Club RYC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MA Joseph 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
2 YOON Jonathan 100% 98% 85% 49% 13%
3 NOVAK Luke 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
3 CHEN Hayden 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
5 TANG Luke 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
6 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
7 PEGUS Izzy 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
8 GUO zhaohong 100% 97% 76% 38% 9% 1%
9 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19%
10 BRATU Max 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
11 MILOWSKY Majai 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
12 ZHANG Jacob 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
13 JEONG Joseph 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
14 RICHARDSON Matthew 100% 99% 87% 54% 16%
15 GREGORY Milo 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1%
16 PINCIROLI Tommaso 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
17 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
18 YADAV Aarav 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2%
19 YIN Xiangheng 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
20 BAKER Bransen 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 3%
21 HATZIGIANNIS Paris 100% 87% 52% 19% 3% -
22 YONG Connor 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
23 SCHELTZ Owen 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
24 NAGELHOUT Cole 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% -
25 MURPHY CHANCOGNE Quentin 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
26 LEE Asher 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
27 FLANAGAN Ronan 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 4%
28 MILLER Brodrick 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% -
29 YAN Milan 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
30 SON Joshua 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% -
31 AGARWAL Avirat 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% -
32 YANTZ Stosh 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
33 XI Eric 100% 80% 39% 9% 1%
34 LU Shawn 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
35 EFFEL Samuel 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
36 TAN Wyatt 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1%
37 ECCLESTONE Liam 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
38 SHABASHOV Roman 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
39 JIN Jacob 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
40 YANTZ Rhys 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1%
41 YU MAXIMILIAN 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1%
42 YONG Dylan 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
43 YAN Ethan 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
44 BACON Bryce 100% 78% 35% 8% 1%
45 HERIGSTAD Daniel 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
46 GENCER Alp 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
47 EICHELBERGER Luke 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.