Magic City New Years Competition (Foil/Epee)

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 8:15 AM

Birmingham Fencing Club - Birmingham, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GORDON Reis - - - - 1% 29% 69%
2 MINER Colin - - - - 3% 27% 70%
3 ELLIOTT Wyatt - - - 1% 14% 63% 22%
3 ALLEY Everett T - - 2% 13% 37% 40% 7%
5 PAYNE Gareth - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
6 CHALMERS Thomas - 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
7 JOHNSTON Jacob - 16% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
8 OLSON Clayton 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
9 KNOX Aidan 2% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1%
10 GEISSLER Maximilian 5% 24% 40% 25% 6% - -
11 JOHNSON Soren - 4% 20% 41% 31% 4% -
12 PUFFENBERGER Daniel 2% 25% 42% 25% 6% 1% -
13 KERTESZ Stefan - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10% -
15 FOSTER Andrew 1% 9% 32% 40% 17% 2%
16 LOUDON Luke 3% 20% 40% 30% 8% - -
17 OLSON Lucas 4% 21% 39% 28% 8% - -
18 PHILLIPS Carson 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
19 LENTINI Christopher - 5% 26% 43% 22% 4% -
20 VARNER Kathryn 83% 16% 1% - - - -
21 HANNER Robert 62% 31% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.