Treasure Chest RYC/Y8

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Treasure Island YMCA - San Francisco, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 VIJAY Vaishnavi 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
2 LEE Rebecca 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 20%
3 YANG Emma 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 10%
3 DEFENSOR Ella 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
5 HUANG Jui-An 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
6 YU Jiaming 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
7 LI Zoey 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
8 STEPHAN Antje Elisa 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 2%
9 SANTIAGO Mara 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
10 LUO Xinyue 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
11 LI Celine 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
12 MARTYNOVA Veronica 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
13 HUANG Sophie 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 11%
14 XIE Zhiran (Celine) 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
15 CHADHA Ditvi 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 4%
16 MENDIRATTA Olivia 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
17 MUKKU Emily 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
18 WU Angela 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6%
19 LI Elaine 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% -
20 YU Elise 100% 97% 81% 44% 11% 1%
21 CHALFIN Samantha 100% 92% 61% 25% 5% -
22 YE Charlotte 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
23 TSE Emma 100% 93% 60% 20% 3% -
24 CHONG Emma 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 6%
25 KUNG Chang-Jie 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 1%
26 LEE Elizabeth 100% 98% 84% 55% 22% 4%
27 MULCHANDANI Anya 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% -
28 GAO Nicole 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
29 LIU Aubrey 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
30 CHEN Soleste 100% 97% 77% 40% 10% 1%
31 TRUONG Camilla 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
32 ZHANG ANGELA 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 3%
33 BERBEGA Polina 100% 91% 55% 16% 2% -
34 YAO Astrid 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
35 ZHOU Emily 100% 54% 13% 1% - -
36 WAGENAAR Ava 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.