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Event Results

Junior Men's Saber

Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYCSurprise Map

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM Fredericksburg Convention Center · Fredericksburg, VA, USA
24 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 LIN Felix V V V V V V V V V 4.0 5 +1.0
2 SU Landon V V V V V V V V D 4.7 5 +0.3
3 BENSON Jacob D V V V V V V D 3.0 4 +1.0
3 LIU Guanyu D V V V D V V V D 2.5 3 +0.5
5 FENG Brendan V V V V V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
6 DECK Tyson V D V V V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
7 MOON Noah V D V V V V D 2.1 4 +1.9
8 CHANG Ethan V D D V V V V D 2.6 3 +0.4
9 BREUER Daniel V V V D V D 3.0 4 +1.0
10 JI Johnson D V V D V D 3.5 3 -0.5
11 LEUNG Arthur D V V V D V D 1.1 3 +1.9
12 D'AMELJ Edoardo V V D V D V D 1.9 3 +1.1
13 PERRIN Leo D D D V V V D 2.5 2 -0.5
14 TOSCANO Sebastian V D V D D V D 2.1 2 -0.1
15 WANG Max D D V D V V D 3.1 2 -1.1
16 REHM Liam V D D D D V D 3.0 1 -2.0
17 HOWERTON Beckett D V D D V D 1.0 2 +1.0
18 BUKZIN Alan V V D D D D 2.4 2 -0.4
19 PARCELL Colby V D D V D D 3.0 2 -1.0
20 ELLIS Bremmen D V D D D D 0.7 1 +0.3
21 BIALIK Noah D D D D D D 2.7 0 -2.7
22 MATTINGLY Ian D D D D D D 1.9 0 -1.9
23 MICHALSKI Brandon D D D D D D 0.2 0 -0.2
24 WANG Ziyao D D D D D D 1.2 0 -1.2

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%