Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Div II Women's Épée

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MEMON Insha 1% 11% 37% 43% 8%
2 CHEN Ava - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
3 ZUCKER Emily A. - 1% 7% 30% 46% 15%
3 CHERNOBRIVETS Maria 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 3%
5 PILSON Rebecca - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
6 LI Xier - 3% 19% 40% 31% 6%
7 KWON Claire 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
8 DUNNE Jessica 2% 14% 36% 35% 13% 1%
9 ZOLDAK Mary - - 1% 10% 40% 50%
10 DUNSEATH Lauren M. - - - 4% 28% 67%
11 SHIN Jamie 7% 28% 38% 21% 4% -
12 BENAVIDES Samantha 8% 33% 42% 15% 1%
13 LEVKOV Maita - 5% 24% 40% 26% 4%
14 PENHOET Evelyn 1% 8% 27% 40% 22% 3%
14 WU Madisen 21% 41% 29% 8% 1% -
16 IBRAHIM Layla 21% 45% 28% 5% -
17 REARDON Isabella 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
18 WESER Veronica U. - - 4% 28% 68%
19 YOON Elsa 6% 33% 41% 18% 3% -
20 ALVAREZ Martine 27% 45% 23% 4% -
21 NOLAN Sophia 1% 9% 33% 40% 16% 2%
22 D'ANGELO Olivia 4% 26% 42% 23% 4% -
23 SINGH Tavleen 22% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
24 KEFFLER Nadia 13% 37% 35% 14% 2% -
25 IVANOV Angela-Sophie 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
26 HOWARD Brielle 34% 45% 18% 3% - -
27 SUNMAN Rory 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
28 PARK Suhjee 22% 45% 26% 6% 1% -
29 CHI Evelyn 59% 34% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.