Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Div II Women's Épée

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MEMON Insha 100% 99% 88% 51% 8%
2 CHEN Ava 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
3 ZUCKER Emily A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 15%
3 CHERNOBRIVETS Maria 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 3%
5 PILSON Rebecca 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
6 LI Xier 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 6%
7 KWON Claire 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 2%
8 DUNNE Jessica 100% 98% 85% 48% 14% 1%
9 ZOLDAK Mary 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
10 DUNSEATH Lauren M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
11 SHIN Jamie 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
12 BENAVIDES Samantha 100% 92% 58% 17% 1%
13 LEVKOV Maita 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 4%
14 PENHOET Evelyn 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
14 WU Madisen 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
16 IBRAHIM Layla 100% 79% 34% 6% -
17 REARDON Isabella 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
18 WESER Veronica U. 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
19 YOON Elsa 100% 94% 62% 20% 3% -
20 ALVAREZ Martine 100% 73% 27% 4% -
21 NOLAN Sophia 100% 99% 90% 58% 17% 2%
22 D'ANGELO Olivia 100% 96% 70% 28% 5% -
23 SINGH Tavleen 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
24 KEFFLER Nadia 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% -
25 IVANOV Angela-Sophie 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
26 HOWARD Brielle 100% 66% 21% 3% - -
27 SUNMAN Rory 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
28 PARK Suhjee 100% 78% 32% 6% 1% -
29 CHI Evelyn 100% 41% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.