Event Results
Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | MCAFEE Jada | V V V V V V | V V V V | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| 2 | FAN Alexandria | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| 3 | MAJEWSKA Maria | D V V V V | V V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 3 | YADAV Tishya | V V V D D | V V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 5 | GUO Yuexi | V V V V V | V D | 2.7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| 6 | LIU Teresa | D V D V V V | V D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| 7 | HU Emily | V D V D D V | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 8 | PHILLIPPY Hannah | V D D V D | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 9 | WANG Emily | D V V D V V | D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 9 | TOPALOV Julia | V V D V V D | D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 11 | LIU Alyssa | D V V V V D | D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 12 | WANG Selina | V V V V D D | D | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| 13 | TA-ZHOU Sophia | D D V D V D | V D | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| 14 | SAGER Bianca | V D D D D V | V D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 15 | FLEEGER Sophia | V D D D D D | V D | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| 16 | ONO Lisa | D D D D D V | V D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 17 | HILTON Penelope | D D D D V | D | 0.3 | 1 | +0.7 |
| 18 | JEON Kristen | D D V D D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 19 | ARIF Haniya | D D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| 20 | CAMPISE Sophia | D D D D D | D | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |