Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Cadet Women's Saber

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MCAFEE Jada - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
2 FAN Alexandria - - - - 4% 27% 69%
3 MAJEWSKA Maria - 3% 17% 37% 34% 10%
3 YADAV Tishya - 2% 13% 38% 38% 9%
5 GUO Yuexi - 10% 33% 37% 17% 3%
6 LIU Teresa 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
7 HU Emily - 3% 15% 32% 34% 14% 1%
8 PHILLIPPY Hannah 1% 15% 38% 33% 11% 1%
9 WANG Emily 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
9 TOPALOV Julia - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
11 LIU Alyssa 2% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
12 WANG Selina 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
13 TA-ZHOU Sophia - 2% 10% 27% 38% 22% 2%
14 SAGER Bianca 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
15 FLEEGER Sophia - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
16 ONO Lisa 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
17 HILTON Penelope 73% 24% 2% - - -
18 JEON Kristen 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -
19 ARIF Haniya 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
20 CAMPISE Sophia 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.