Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Junior Women's Épée

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OLELE Ifechi 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
2 QI Julieanne 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
3 AZAD Ava 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
3 CHEN Ava 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
5 ZHENG Erin 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
6 MARISI Gianna 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
7 LI Xier 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
8 LEVKOV Maita 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
9 NOLAN Sophia 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 11%
10 SUNMAN Rory 100% 100% 91% 57% 19% 2%
11 HAGERMAN Siona 100% 96% 69% 29% 6% -
12 KWON Claire 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 2% -
13 ANDRADE OSINAGA Sophia 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
15 BECKMAN Amaya 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
16 ALVAREZ Martine 100% 97% 77% 36% 6%
17 COMBS Hannah 100% 98% 82% 43% 12% 1%
18 SILVA Hailey 100% 97% 72% 30% 4%
19 REARDON Isabella 100% 95% 66% 24% 3%
20 SHIN Jamie 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% -
21 PENHOET Evelyn 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
22 NANAYAKKARA Sanuthi 100% 100% 96% 72% 31% 5%
23 PRAVEEN Nehara 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% - -
24 DROLET Julia 100% 46% 9% 1% -
25 BERGMANN Beatrix 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
26 IBRAHIM Layla 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
27 YOON Elsa 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
28 KALI Aiana 100% 89% 41% 9% 1% -
29 CHAO Kira 100% 33% 4% - - -
30 HOWARD Brielle 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
31 IYENGAR Sthuthi 100% 37% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.