Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Veteran Men's Épée

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WHEELER Daniel - - 1% 15% 45% 38%
2 GALEOTTI Loriano - 5% 22% 39% 28% 7%
3 DEUCHER Joseph H. - 1% 7% 35% 58%
3 WORMACK Anthony 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
5 CARTER Austin L. - - 4% 26% 48% 22%
6 YAKIMENKO Andrei - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
7 CHU Brandon A. 3% 21% 44% 28% 4%
8 CHRISTY Peter C. 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 2%
9 SNIDER Jeffrey H. - 1% 7% 29% 48% 16%
10 DELONG Mike 3% 23% 49% 22% 3% -
11 HITCHCOCK David - - 1% 9% 39% 51%
12 MEGGERS Samuel 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
13 WHITELOCK James R. 10% 36% 37% 15% 2% -
14 OPFERMAN Michael J. 1% 16% 42% 34% 7%
15 SWENSON Jason 49% 42% 9% 1% - -
16 FROLICH Grant 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
17 SWICK Kerry J. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
18 EVANS Allen L. 2% 16% 38% 34% 10% 1%
19 ROUSE Joseph (Joe) T. 9% 38% 39% 13% 1%
20 ZUCKER Noah L. - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
21 NANAYAKKARA Damin 56% 35% 8% 1% - -
22 HUGHES Michael D. 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
23 HEKMAT Sina R. - 2% 16% 45% 31% 6%
24 CAMPBELL Paul 15% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
25 SIMS Martin L. 43% 41% 13% 2% - -
26 KREMPASKY John H. 56% 36% 7% 1% -
28 NEMAZIE David A. 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 1%
29 SMITH Herman E. 3% 21% 41% 28% 6% -
30 BEUTLER Andreas 22% 51% 23% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.