Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 2:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 TANG Alexander L. V V V V V V V V V V 4.2 5 +0.8
2 TANG Albert V V V V V V V V V D 4.5 5 +0.5
3 COZINE Owen N. V V D V D V V V D 3.4 3 -0.4
3 DOELL Ethan V V V V V V V V V D 4.9 6 +1.1
5 ZOBEL Eric H. V D D V V V V V D 5.3 4 -1.3
6 JOSEPH Willem V D V V D V V V D 5.1 4 -1.1
7 HUANG Eythan V V V D D V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
8 YAP Nathan D D V D V V V D 3.1 2 -1.1
9 SHIN Noah V D V V V V V D 3.4 5 +1.6
10 SHENG Dalton D V V V V V D 2.8 4 +1.2
11 GRISWOLD Abel B. V D D V V V D 3.4 3 -0.4
12 HUA Aaron D D V V V V D 3.4 3 -0.4
13 PECK Quinn D V V V D V D 2.6 3 +0.4
14 ZHANG Julian V D V V D D V D 1.6 3 +1.4
15 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad V V D D D V D 2.3 2 -0.3
16 GORDON Jacob D D V D V V D 2.1 2 -0.1
17 TARCHICHI Robby D V V V D V D 3.0 4 +1.0
18 WOOD Alexander W. V D V D V V D 5.0 4 -1.0
19 METZ Mason V D D V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
20 GODIN Willis V V V D D D 1.2 3 +1.8
21 ZAIDI Adil V V D V D D D 3.5 3 -0.5
22 ZHANG Ethan V V D D V D D 1.6 3 +1.4
23 MORENO Peter D V D D V V D 0.5 3 +2.5
24 SMITH Finnley D V D D V D 2.4 2 -0.4
25 TAM Kyle V D D V D D 2.2 2 -0.2
26 SINGH Meet D V D D V D D 1.2 2 +0.8
27 ELSAYED Ahmed D D V D D D D 0.8 1 +0.2
28 SONG HAN GYEOL D D D D D D 0.5 0 -0.5
29 KUBBA Krish D D D D D D 1.2 0 -1.2
30 HARWOOD Gray D D D D D D 0.6 0 -0.6
31 NACU Robert D D D D D D D 4.0 0 -4.0
32 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel D D D D D D D 2.0 0 -2.0

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.