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Event Results

Div I-A Men's Foil

Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYCPool Heatmap

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 2:30 PM Fredericksburg Convention Center · Fredericksburg, VA, USA
32 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year
Victory Chances At Least Wins

Win Distribution

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the probability of finishing with that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TANG Alexander L. - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
2 TANG Albert - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
3 COZINE Owen N. - 3% 14% 34% 35% 14%
3 DOELL Ethan - - - 5% 25% 47% 23%
5 ZOBEL Eric H. - - - 1% 11% 43% 45%
6 JOSEPH Willem - - - 3% 19% 45% 34%
7 HUANG Eythan 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 5%
8 YAP Nathan - 5% 22% 38% 28% 6%
9 SHIN Noah - 1% 12% 42% 33% 10% 1%
10 SHENG Dalton 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
11 GRISWOLD Abel B. - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
12 HUA Aaron - 2% 13% 36% 40% 9%
13 PECK Quinn 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
14 ZHANG Julian 8% 38% 39% 13% 2% - -
15 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 2% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1%
16 GORDON Jacob 4% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1%
17 TARCHICHI Robby - 4% 22% 42% 26% 5% -
18 WOOD Alexander W. - - - 3% 21% 51% 25%
19 METZ Mason 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
20 GODIN Willis 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
21 ZAIDI Adil - 2% 12% 36% 38% 11% 1%
22 ZHANG Ethan 8% 35% 42% 12% 1% - -
23 MORENO Peter 59% 34% 7% 1% - - -
24 SMITH Finnley 2% 15% 37% 34% 11% 1%
25 TAM Kyle 3% 19% 39% 31% 8% 1%
26 SINGH Meet 20% 46% 28% 5% - - -
27 ELSAYED Ahmed 37% 46% 16% 1% - - -
28 SONG HAN GYEOL 56% 35% 8% 1% - -
29 KUBBA Krish 21% 43% 28% 8% 1% -
30 HARWOOD Gray 55% 36% 9% 1% - -
31 NACU Robert < 1% - 3% 23% 48% 23% 3%
32 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 3% 24% 43% 24% 5% - -