Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 3:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZHANG Eric 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
2 TAK Kion 100% 97% 74% 30% 2%
3 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
3 THOMAS Tre 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
5 CARD Ewan 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
6 LAN Jasper 100% 97% 78% 38% 7%
7 PERKINS, JR LeVar 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 26%
8 NEPPALLI Dhruv 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
9 RINALDI Benigno 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 18%
10 CHOI Clayton 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% 1%
11 KELLY Collin 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 9%
12 GUO Joe 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% 1%
13 SVERDLOV Max 100% 89% 55% 19% 3%
14 SAFAI Bardia 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
15 TAK Sion 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
16 BECKER Grayson 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
17 PETROSYAN Aleksander 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
18 MCCABE Donovan 100% 98% 81% 43% 11% 1%
19 LEE Augustine 100% 86% 46% 10% 1% -
20 ZHAO Evan 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
21 XIE Andy 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%
22 WANG Thomas 100% 80% 39% 10% 1%
23 CHEN Remsen 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% -
24 BROWN Nash 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% -
25 THORNTON Jackson 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
26 HUANG Max 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% -
27 ROSENBLATT-HOERST Simon 100% 100% 94% 67% 24%
28 ZHU Jackie 100% 100% 88% 50% 13% 1%
29 FERRARO Antonio 100% 63% 21% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.