The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE FOR:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem on May 13th!

Event Results

Y-12 Men's Saber

Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYCPool Heatmap

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 3:30 PM Fredericksburg Convention Center · Fredericksburg, VA, USA
29 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZHANG Eric 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
2 TAK Kion 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
3 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
3 THOMAS Tre 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
5 CARD Ewan 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
6 LAN Jasper 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
7 PERKINS, JR LeVar 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 26%
8 NEPPALLI Dhruv 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
9 RINALDI Benigno 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
10 CHOI Clayton 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% -
11 KELLY Collin 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 8%
12 GUO Joe 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1%
13 SVERDLOV Max 100% 90% 57% 20% 3%
14 SAFAI Bardia 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
15 TAK Sion 100% 95% 72% 35% 8% 1%
16 BECKER Grayson 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
17 PETROSYAN Aleksander 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
18 MCCABE Donovan 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
19 LEE Augustine 100% 88% 49% 13% 2% -
20 ZHAO Evan 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
21 XIE Andy 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
22 WANG Thomas 100% 87% 49% 14% 2%
23 CHEN Remsen 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
24 BROWN Nash 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% -
25 THORNTON Jackson 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% 1%
26 HUANG Max 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% -
27 ROSENBLATT-HOERST Simon 100% 90% 58% 21% 3%
28 ZHU Jackie 100% 99% 89% 55% 17% 2%
29 FERRARO Antonio 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -